Hurricane Tammy Return Period

H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Return Period ...

and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it moves toward the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently considering that Friday night.

The storm reinforced into a hurricane on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual location for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical researcher at Colorado State University.

By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.

The path northward away from the Caribbean has become less specific. Tammy was initially anticipated to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now recommending that the storm may drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.

Hurricane Katrina (August 2005) became a big and very effective typhoon that triggered massive damage and substantial death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.


Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest loss of life in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, in addition to large areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.

Cyclone warnings have actually now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies cyclone conditions are anticipated in some of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map below.

Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.

Rainfall overalls could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).

T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in a few of these locations.

Norma, now a Classification 1 storm since 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.

Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were taking place over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.

Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a cyclone that might bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center said.

In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Hurricane Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm as of Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds gained ground to 85 mph.

Neither storm is a threat to the US.

In the Atlantic, Tammy maintained optimal sustained winds of 85 miles per hour and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.

The Classification 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center said.

Tammy is expected to move near or over parts of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.

Hurricane-force winds extended outward up to 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended external as much as 125 miles.

Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are uncommon for late October. Tammy is only the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic considering that 1900, according to typhoon expert Michael Lowry.

It's likewise the latest-forming cyclone in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.

Hurricane professionals formerly cautioned cyclones might form in uncommon areas later on in the season this year because of the incredibly warm Atlantic Ocean.

A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.

Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most serious risks and might lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.

Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.

With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the hurricane center turns to an alternate list of names.

Hurricane Tammy